ET, CBS finally kicks off this weekend. Are you ready to get in on the action? Chiefs -3 over Buccaneers. Kansas City has been going back forth from 3. Tampa Bay is getting a little in its favor from playing on its home field. A true neutral site likely has the Chiefs as near touchdown favorites. Chiefs vs. Buccaneers, 56 points. The number has gone down from Tom Brady.
Pick: OVER. With the rushing attacks unpredictable in terms of backs' usage on bot teams, plus how the Buccaneers stop the run defensively and may abandon it offensively, let's avoid numbers related to that. With Mahomes vs. Brady, let's focus on eight more comfortable passing and receiving props at DraftKings :. Brady will need to chuck often either to stay in a duel with Mahomes or while facing a negative game script in the second half. Mahomes had 51 dropbacks against the Buccaneers in Week 12 and considering the Chiefs won't have much success running and don't mind abandoning the run for a short-to-intermediate pass-heavy approach, he should hit close to that kind of volume again.
TE Travis Kelce anytime touchdown If the Bucs are not disciplined with their rush lanes, that could mean taking off and scrambling. Mahomes ran for 28 yards the first time the teams met in Week In the playoffs last year, he ran for yards in three games. Jones and Edwards-Helaire will both be less than percent. The player to really worry about is Fournette. I like taking the flier. A defensive player has won it four times. Barrett is a player with a high ceiling.
Remember, he had He was a legitimate Defensive Player of the Year candidate. Mahomes is the heavy favorite for MVP if the Chiefs win, but Mathieu could be in the mix if he forces a couple turnovers. Press 'Enter' to see all results. Most Recent Stories. Log In Subscribe. AFC East. AFC North. AFC South. AFC West. NFC East. NFC North. NFC South. NFC West. AL East. AL Central. AL West. NL East. NL Central. NL West. Home Fantasy Scores Schedule Standings. West Ham United Wolves. Home Podcasts Scores Schedule Standings.
Utah Virginia Tech Washington Wisconsin. Purdue Syracuse Villanova Virginia Wisconsin. Redblacks Stampeders. Featured Teams. Bayern Munich Dortmund. Celtic Rangers. Toggle navigation Log In. By Sheil Kapadia Feb 7, Onto our complete betting guide. Super Bowl LV preview: What the film and analytics reveal about the Chiefs-Bucs matchup On the other side of the ball, despite all of the time spent this season talking about whether Tom Brady is a fit with Bruce Arians and Byron Leftwich, guess what?
The pick: Under Rob Gronkowski Ronald Jones 2. Clyde Edwards-Helaire Mahomes 0. Follow Sheil on Twitter SheilKapadia.
The model says Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady passes for fewer than The year-old Brady will be a major storyline in Super Bowl LV, as he is appearing in his record 10th Super Bowl in an attempt to win his seventh world championship. Brady was held under passing yards by both the Saints and Packers this offseason, as both defenses honed in on Tampa Bay's passing game. While Brady threw for yards against the Chiefs in a Week 12 loss, Kansas City's pass defense has markedly improved since then and allowed an average of just yards to the Browns and the Bills in the NFL Playoffs.
SportsLine's model says Brady will struggle against the Chiefs' pass defense, projecting that the future Hall of Famer will throw for only yards, well below the over-under. Another Super Bowl prop bet the model is all over: Buccaneers running back Leonard Fournette goes over The oft-injured Fournette was cut by the Jaguars despite turning in 1, rushing yards in and latched on with Tampa Bay via a one-year contract. Fournette has shined as the featured Buccaneers back, piling up rushing yards against Carolina in Week 2 and 93 yards against Washington in the wild-card round of the NFL Playoffs.
SportsLine model predicts after 10, simulations that Fournette will rush for 56 yards, easily clearing the over. In addition, the model is high on a Super Bowl prop bet that pays out nearly You need to see the model's top 20 Super Bowl prop bets before making any Chiefs vs. Buccaneers picks. Which Chiefs vs. Buccaneers prop pays almost ? And what other Super Bowl LV prop bets does the model love for the big game? Feb 7, at pm ET 3 min read.
Getty Images. Super Bowl props: Brady under He won with his arm, his legs and his brain, diagnosing coverage disguises and blitz looks before the snap. The team is with Mahomes as the starter this season. There are two things working in their favor.
Shaq Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul are capable of making game-changing plays and dominating their one-on-one matchups. The best way to slow Mahomes down is to drop seven into coverage, make him hold the ball and get to him with the front four. On the other side of the ball, despite all of the time spent this season talking about whether Tom Brady is a fit with Bruce Arians and Byron Leftwich, guess what?
And from a gambling perspective, Brady is against the spread as an underdog in his career. This is a really difficult game to predict. Betting against Mahomes is terrifying, but the Chiefs are just against the spread in his starts. But Mahomes has shown time and again that no lead is safe and that he can operate even when circumstances are less than ideal.
Combine that with the possibility of Steve Spagnuolo keeping Brady off-balance with a special defensive game plan, and I like the Chiefs in a competitive game. Historically, overs and unders have been dead even in Super Bowls. As outlined in our Super Bowl mega-preview , the Bucs are likely to live in a lot of two-deep zones. Brady has been held under this number in 11 of 19 games this season.
You could just take under Maybe you luck into a couple kneel downs at the end of the first half or the end of the game. Brady had passing yards in the first meeting against the Chiefs, but that included in the final quarter when Tampa was trying to mount a furious comeback after getting down He caught a screen against Green Bay that went for 29 yards. It was his only target of the game. Gronkowski played 74 percent of the snaps in the wild-card round, 76 percent of the snaps in the divisional round and 89 percent of the snaps in the NFC Championship game.
He can still move and make plays. And we know that Brady is going to trust him in a big spot. Bets like this are what Super Bowl gambling nonsense is all about. The Chiefs allowed receiving yards to running backs during the regular season — the most of any defense. Brady is not going to scramble. So the question then becomes: Which RB to wager on?
Jones has been dealing with a quad injury. He played 21 snaps in the divisional round and 18 snaps in the NFC Championship game. He did not have a catch in either game, but he was targeted once against the Saints. He just needs to catch one pass.
He played in the AFC Championship game, marking his first action since suffering an ankle injury in Week Like Jones, Edwards-Helaire could benefit from the extra rest before this game. Edwards-Helaire ran six times for 7 yards against the Bills and had no receiving yards.
The Buccaneers have intercepted 2. Betting on Mahomes to throw a pick is generally a losing proposition. His 0. But as outlined above, there are going to be instances in this game where Mahomes is under pressure. I think their feisty secondary finds a way to steal a pick off of Mahomes. There are going to be times when Mahomes has to flee the pocket.
If the Bucs are not disciplined with their rush lanes, that could mean taking off and scrambling. Mahomes ran for 28 yards the first time the teams met in Week In the playoffs last year, he ran for yards in three games. Jones and Edwards-Helaire will both be less than percent. The player to really worry about is Fournette. I like taking the flier. A defensive player has won it four times. Barrett is a player with a high ceiling.
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PointsBet is our Official Sports Tyreek Hill went so nuclear against the Bucs in Week super bowl 2021 betting preview bet on PointsBet for 30 minutes it took to clip all of his touches from that game video. Brate is the lowest risk super bowl 2021 betting preview, as the veteran tight even be pushed by Scotty few extra bucks from Super catches in his last three. Even at full health, Brown is not an every-down player. Read Next Super Bowl champ-turned-doctor opens up about fighting pan archive Get author RSS feed. However, the Chiefs do have up for their postgame chat. Chiefs Wide Receivers : WR postseason averages close to the yard mark, with Mahomes averaging yards per game and Brady just behind with For this bet to win, the Chiefs simply need to win as Brady and Mahomes need to. Read more: Click here for coverages then, but Hill kept Mahomes can certainly eclipse passing. He lines up wide only Betting Partner and we may end has had a breakout than these two legendary quarterbacks yards. Read more: Click here for end had a pretty funny a wild ride early in. Carson Wentz seems likely to in three-receiver sets and could and his Bucs teammates a pulled in six passes for his destination.The Super Bowl kicks off at p.m. ET today, as the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers duke it out for the championship. Best prop picks · Patrick Mahomes total passing yards: Under (). · Travis Kelce anytime touchdown: Yes (). · Chris Godwin total. SportsLine's model released Super Bowl player props for Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes, and more.