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The refs are sometimes biased. The players are sleeping in their own beds and probably enjoying their favorite meals at home. In fact, this article on ESPN argues that the advantage has become less and less pronounced over the last 40 years. The takeaway: home court advantage is still important when it comes to betting on basketball.
The problem is, having a favorite can bias your betting decisions. You want your team to win. Emotions are almost guaranteed to lead to poor long-term results. The takeaway: if you want to make a profit, set aside your favorites and bet with your head. Cold, calculated logic, preferably supported with solid data, trumps emotion every time.
You can really go into the weeds with statistics when it comes to basketball. Rather, identify the important stuff and disregard the rest. What basketball stats should you focus on? Here are several that can have a big influence on the outcomes of games:. Zero in on the ones that do, starting with those listed above.
This is something that most novice basketball betters miss. Oddsmakers adjust the lines on games as action pours into one side or the other. Their goal is to balance the action. When a lot of action flows in, that balancing act occasionally requires big, sudden line movements. You notice that the line has shifted abruptly in favor of the latter. A smart play at that point would be to follow the line. Sometimes, the movements stem from major changes in personnel — for example, Lebron James yanking a hamstring during game-night practice.
Eighty-two games per season makes for an exhausting grind. The fact that starters manage to move themselves up and down the court late in the season is impressive. They get tired, particularly after playing several nights in a row. They suffer fatigue.
The effect is even more pronounced on the road. Not only does the court time take its toll, but sleeping in hotels, eating out, and being away from the comforts of home does, too. Burnout is common after a long series. The takeaway: think twice before betting on a team suffering from court fatigue. For example, imagine if the Warriors were scheduled to play the 76ers. If Bovada were to allow folks to bet on which team was likely to win, all of the action would flow to the Warriors.
And if, as most people would predict, the Warriors were to beat the 76ers, Bovada would take a major drubbing. They figure a hot team is likely to maintain its momentum and cover the spread. As the streak lengthens, more action pours into the side favoring the team enjoying the streak. Oddsmakers respond by adjusting the lines and point spreads. That makes it more difficult to bet against the spread on the favored team.
These teams are avoided by most bettors, which means oddsmakers may give you an extra point or two in an attempt to balance the action. While matchups, both in terms of teams and positions, are important to take into account, trends are all but irrelevant in basketball. You want to be aware of its performance throughout the season. But trends in basketball betting refer to something completely different. Some teams are much better at home than on the road, but just about all the teams in the league have a tendency to play their best basketball in front of the home-town crowd.
Looking back at the regular season, 19 of the 30 teams had a straight-up winning record at home. It is commonly excepted that home court advantage is worth around three or four points on the spread, but this is still a generalization. Using current form as your betting guide, always look for teams that have been lighting it up home over the course of their past few games.
These trends do not last forever, so you have to learn how to ride them like a wave until they begin to fade. Every sport compiles a ton of statistics that have the tendency to bog down your handicapping efforts and the NBA is no different. Instead of plowing through number after number when it comes to breaking down a particular matchup, the three stats that I like to focus on are points in the paint, rebounds and turnovers.
Any team that performs well in all three categories is a sign of a well-coached ball club that remains focused on the big picture by taking care of the small details. A high average of points in the paint and rebounds speaks directly to a team's ability to dominate the pace of play by controlling the boards. Low turnovers speak to a team's ability to take care of the ball which will ultimately result in more scoring opportunities and more points on the board.
You should always be on the lookout for glaring inequities in the NBA schedule. While it does not happen all the time, you might find one team playing its third game in four nights facing a team that is coming off a couple days rest. This impact is multiplied if the fatigued team is playing on the road. The Oddsmakers will factor this into their betting odds for that particular game, but it could still present a great opportunity to wager on the fresher team.
Skip to main content. Tracking Line Movements Betting lines for games are often released more than 24 hours before an actual game unless the status of a major injury to either side is keeping the Oddsmakers from releasing the odds.
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|Nba betting records||Odds boosts: Odds boost crediting relies on marketing comms opt-in. Handicap the totals using the factors above. Every sport compiles a ton terms used in sport betting statistics that have the tendency to bog tips on basketball betting your handicapping efforts and the NBA is no different. The home team will normally have an advantage, particularly if the away team has a long way to travel the US is huge! Any team that performs well in all three categories is a sign of a well-coached ball club that remains focused on the big picture by taking care of the small details. Instead of plowing through number after number when it comes to breaking down a particular matchup, the three stats that I like to focus on are points in the paint, rebounds and turnovers. You can really go into the weeds with statistics when it comes to basketball.|
|Tips on basketball betting||The fact that starters manage to move themselves up and down the court late in the tips on basketball betting is impressive. We are committed to responsible gambling and have a number of ways to help you stay in control and keep gambling fun. Dallas Mavericks The takeaway: if you want to make a profit, set aside your favorites and bet with your head. In fact, this article on ESPN argues that the advantage has become less and less pronounced over the last 40 years. A corollary to this tip is to avoid placing your bet too early. You can see all of our recommended bookmakers, as well as compare their welcome offers, on our free bets page.|
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Wagering odds are the foundation of any sport and any sports bet. They all start with fair odds and the probability of all possible outcomes — victory for either of the teams and of course, draw. Then, the number is divided by the percentage probability for each of the outcomes. Real odds made from fair odds are the odds bettors will see, and these are made to make the sportsbook profit in the majority of situations.
They do this by multiplying fair odds by a factor of 0. Mountain West Football: Transfer Tracker. Colorado State Rams vs. Jenkins Jr. The Aztecs extend their winning streak and keep adding to their tournament …. When the NBA season got underway in December, there were a record seventeen players from Canada on the opening-night rosters.
Looking at the seeding currently. Big games with implications on the standings last week. San Jose State vs. Basketball Betting Tips to create strategies for beginners. Rule number one: Learn all the rules When betting on any sports and any league the first thing you need to do is learn the rules of the sport.
What to Avoid? Change your betting strategy If you used to bet on any other sports you should keep in mind that the strategies you applied to other sports might not work on basketball, too. For example, football or cricket wagering strategies are completely different compared to basketball, and you should try to incorporate some of the following methods: Is it smart to bet on the winner? Understanding the odds Learning how bookmakers calculate the odds can also be the other determining factor when it comes to the success of your betting strategy.
More Mountain West Wire. From The Web. Colorado State 22hr ago Colorado State Rams vs. Follow Mountain West Wire! The Nets have been woeful on defence and that could prove particularly problematic against a Pacers team that scores The Clippers have lost three of their last four games but have a perfect bounce-back opportunity against the struggling Timberwolves. New Orleans stormed to victory over Houston last night but may not have it all their own way when they visit Chicago.
Cleveland have lost their last four games and could be in for more problems when they face Denver. The Cavaliers have won just three of 11 road games this season and the absence of Kevin Love and Larry Nance jnr. Sees them lacking experience and leadership. The Nuggets have not been stellar lately by any means, but Nikola Jokic has been playing phenomenal basketball and should power Denver to a solid victory.
Milwaukee have been flying having won their last five, but the streak could come to an end tonight when they take on Phoenix. The Suns have won six of their last seven and looked superb against the Cavaliers on Monday, shooting 52 per cent from the field.
Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton have been particularly impressive for Phoenix and their solid defence should allow them to keep this one close. OKC were able to force overtime against L. Los Angeles have won their last five with LeBron James posting triple-doubles in two of his last three games, and their solid defence should allow them to comfortably outscore the Thunder.
On weekdays our basketball tips are posted at around 6pm UK time. During weekends this is a little earlier, at around 4pm. We try to get them up as early as possible to take advantage of early lines and to make sure we get in before the odds start moving and we lose value. Bookmark and check this page regularly to ensure you get in on the action! Each night our expert tipsters put up the following NBA picks:.
Accumulator — These are not only our most popular bet type but also one of our most confident NBA predictions. Our experts pick out the best NBA bets and put them into an accumulator, where we try to win big from a small stake.
Mega Odds Accumulator — Busy fixture schedule this week? This could be the bet for you. Naturally, winning returns can be enormous! You can see all of our recommended bookmakers, as well as compare their welcome offers, on our free bets page. What should you take into account when betting on basketball? The home team will normally have an advantage, particularly if the away team has a long way to travel the US is huge! But the best way to beat the bookies is to analyse form and statistics.
But no stress, our tipsters will do that for you! For live standings, you can check out the official league table here. If you are backing a team on the money line then they must win for your bet to come in. Point Spread — This is a handicap system based on points, and works the same as handicaps in football betting.
For example, a Miami Heat If the spread is a whole number and the team end up winning by or losing by exactly that number, then the bet becomes a push and your money is refunded. Alternative Point Spread — This is the same as a standard point spread but with a different number of points. Not many bookies offer this market but some, like bet, offer 10 points either side of the point spread line.
We love putting accumulators and banker doubles onto these as part of our NBA tips! Game Totals — This is simply betting on the total number of points scored in a game. This means you need or more total points in the game to win the Overs and or less to win the Unders.
If the game total is a whole number and ends up being the same as the total points scored then your bet becomes a push and your stake is refunded. Note that all of the above includes overtime! Again this can be found on bet, found under the alternative game totals tab.